Weekly Market Report 1-26-2018

Weekly Market Report 1-26-2018

Presented by Greg Jensen, Karen Smith, and Eric Hale.


Video Transcription

Greg Jensen:                Good afternoon, good evening everyone. Welcome to the Options Animal Weekly. This is Greg, glad to be here today. I’m joined by two of my favorite people on the planet.

Karen Smith:                Aww.

Greg Jensen:                Eric Hale, glad to have you here, Karen.

Eric Hale:                      Oh I thought you meant your wife, and [crosstalk 00:00:18].

Greg Jensen:                Oh, well I am actually at home today, but I’m just sitting in my home office, but I’m talking about you two. I’m talking about you two.

Eric Hale:                      Aw, thanks.

Greg Jensen:                My hope is, for you guys, is that you were long this week, because good grief! Can we go any higher? I guess before we get into talking too much about what’s going on in the market, I need to remind everyone that the information in the broadcast today is for educational and illustrative purposes only. No way a recommendation to buy or sell any security, nor should it be considered any type of investment advice. Remember that these stock and options market do involve risk, and you should have a firm understanding of the rights, the risks, the obligations, associated with all your trading instruments before considering placing any type of trade. Make sure and have those primary and secondary exit points planned, because you never know when the market’s going to get just too bullish, which has been the case. Right? I mean up, up and away!

The stat I read today is that 18 days into the trading year now, we have now surpassed almost 70% of the analysts’ end-of-year target on the S&P already. We could finish at 2872. Only 5 out of 15 analysts had end-of-year targets higher than where we’re at. Just not even three full weeks into the year, and … You know, to be honest, it’s starting to get a little bit unnerving how bullish this is going. Especially the last couple of days, because I thought we had a little bit of profit taking this week, especially in the tech sector. I’m like, “Okay, good. Here it comes. We’re going to get a little bit of pullback.

On Tuesday, I think was the day we got a little bit of pullback and yet, even though we did have some sell-off in some big names like Apple … Had a little bit of a sell-off this week. You know, you had companies like Facebook take a little bit of a breather, at least for the first part of the week. Then by the end of the week it didn’t. Microsoft, Google, some of the big, big tech names took a little bit of a breather. You had other names just absolutely just barreling to the upside all week long. From Amazon, to Netflix, to Boeing … I mean, you can go down a list of stocks and just … We’re starting to get parabolic right now.

I wasn’t expecting this bullish of a move, but this move in January is getting really kind of stupid. I’ll be honest. I can’t think of a better word than bullish, but it’s stupid bullish right now. I mean, it’s crazy. Look at the RSI on the SPX right now. We are at 87 on the RSI, almost. That is just unreal.

Eric, are you bullish right now?

Eric Hale:                      Hey, I’m trading what I got. I agree with you 100%. I don’t think anybody’s surprised … It’s a really good week, too. Lots of good stuff going on, and listening to people talking [Davos 00:03:37]. I don’t have access to these numbers, but I do hear there is still a ton of cash sitting on the sidelines. I was talking to an investor early part of this week who said, “I’ve basically been … For the past three years, I haven’t really been in the market.” There are a ton of people on the sidelines watching this go. When you say parabolic, that is the word.

I mean, there is no doubt, if you look at this trend that we’ve had going up until December as being very bullish, I mean just look at January! It is just insane. I was going to say, you said we’re higher than like 70% of the forecast for the year. Can we just like put the market on pause and for the next 11 months, just stay here? What about you, Karen? What do you think?

Karen Smith:                Yeah, you know, today was the day that surprised me, because the other days this week we were kind of starting to hesitate. I thought, “Oh well, we know that overbought conditions can be worked off one of two ways.” Either with a pullback, like you mentioned Greg, or with time, with consolidation. So I thought, “Okay, this is going to be that sort of consolidation phase.” Then of course, today came and in particular, if you break down today’s price action, most of … Well, I shouldn’t say “most of”, but there was certainly a push, maybe an option expiration Fridays sort of event that happened in the last 30 minutes that really catapulted things.

In terms of that overbought condition, if you happen to take a look at a weekly chart, so a one year weekly candle chart, on the S&P, we are actually above 90 on the RSI, on that particular chart. Greg, I was actually going to ask you, because I’ve been involved now with Options Animal and very active in the markets since 2008, 2009 … I don’t think I can remember a time so far in this bull that we were that overbought, technically speaking, on the RSI. Even in 2013, when we started the year very bullish, if you recall, that was quite a big week for the S&P, I don’t remember going to these extremes.

So I tend to agree with you gentlemen, that you have to trade the bull bullishly. Long calls on the SPY have worked really well here recently. But at the same time, common sense just says, “Hmm, how long can this go?” In particular, is this sort of that “blow off top” that often accompanies some sort of volatile, bearish volatility, dare I say that out loud, that can come to the marketplace.

So Greg, do you remember being that overbought in this bull? I don’t. Maybe we have been, and I just don’t recollect.

Greg Jensen:                Not this bull. The last time I remember this type of euphoria was 1999. It wasn’t across the market like this one is. In 1999, although the whole market was relatively bullish, it was really just a handful of tech stocks …  You know, the internet-based type of companies that were this bullish. In fact, you were seeing a lot of selling pressure in some of the other names of people like, “Yeah, I don’t want to own Wal-Mart or Home Depot or Boeing or any of the airlines right now because I want everything in Silicon Valley.” So there was a huge rush to everything dot com. Some of you may remember that, some of you may not.

This one is across the board. It is really hard to find a sector that is not participating in this rally right now. Part of that, I think, does come back to what we’ve been saying for several years now, that has been driving this market. That is, TINA, that there is no other alternative, except for there always was one other alternative that we just didn’t talk a lot about because we don’t trade it a lot. But that was the bullish bond market that was going on, right alongside the S&P for the last five years.

Well that may be where a lot of this cash is coming from, because the bond market is starting to show signs of weakness. We are starting to see some selling going on. I think there’s a lot of people who have been in bonds for the last 5 to 10, arguably 15 years, that now that there are several signs on the horizon that the bond rally may be over. Whether it’s comments from China from a few weeks ago, that said, “We’re no longer going to be buying U.S. bonds.” Whether you believe it or not is one question. I know President Trump came out and said that was fake news. But China said they’re not going to be buying bonds anymore, per report I believe from Bloomberg.

The one report that I think is very clear, and it is going on, is the selling pressure in the bond market that’s coming from The Federal Reserve. We know they’re selling, we know they’re decreasing their balance sheet. They started in October. We know we’ve got about four and a half trillion dollars of debt that’s going to get sold back into the market from that standpoint. So, rather than getting defensive and moving to cash right now with it, I think what’s happening is you’re seeing a huge influx into the S&P 500 and other dollar-denominated assets.

Now, a lot of this move you could arguably say has been … At least this week, has been fueled by Davos. Eric, you mentioned it. The interesting move earlier in the commentary early in the week was from Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, who said, “A weak dollar is good for the United States, and good for our trade policy.” So you saw everything dollar-denominated, whether it’s the S&P, whether it’s things like gold, whether it’s things like … Well, other than maybe Bitcoin didn’t, but the dollar decline has had, I believe, some positive pressure on the S&P.

So Eric, you hinted at Davos. What are some of the other things that maybe you saw this week that helped push this bullish market, or maybe just kept the pedal to the metal, so to speak?

Eric Hale:                      I mean everybody from Larry Fink and Blankfein, and Dalio … Well, I don’t know if you saw it. Did you see Trump’s speech today? I don’t care what side of the aisle you’re on, it was a darn good speech. It was … I mean, I don’t know, somebody must have made him practice because you can always tell when he’s going off script, but it was a very well-written speech. I thought it was excellent, made a lot of sense. I mean, it was pretty good.

We don’t see U.S. Presidents going there a lot and talking, but one of the things that came out, and you mentioned this on the U.S. Dollar. This is something that does have impact on the market. I remember a time not too long ago, maybe like four or five years ago, maybe longer, where it was only the U.S. Dollar that seemed to matter. It was the strength of the dollar, and the weaker the dollar got, the higher the market went. I don’t know that that’s necessarily a good thing. There’s a point where a weak dollar is not good. It’s funny that you commented on that, because Mnuchin said this week that, “Hey, a weak dollar is good for the economy.” Generally, it is.

No President ever says he has a weak dollar policy, because I think some people … It’s too much to explain to too many people. They think it’s like saying, “I’m going to burn the flag.” Or something like that, they equate the U.S. Dollar with some sort of symbolism. But what a weak dollar does is it makes our products more attractive. I think what we’re seeing is definitely this … This blue line is the weakening. This is something from Dave Wilson from Bloomberg News. He sends out a chart of the day. This was the chart of the day, and this is something that came from Jim Paulsen from Leuthold Group, that was saying, “Hey, hold on here a moment, because a weak dollar is okay. But considering everything else, considering the situation with the 10 year treasuries, this could actually be a bad thing.” And that’s true. When the dollar gets too weak, it’s a bad thing.

So having the U.S. Dollar lower does make our products more attractive. It makes it harder for us to buy things outside of the United States, but it certainly helps our products and people who are exporting things. Generally what happens is we’ll see a rally in commodities, and we’ll also see the market tends to go up with a weaker dollar as well. Karen, did you have any thoughts on the U.S. Dollar, any of this commentary? What did you think about this week with regards to that?

Karen Smith:                It definitely provided some intraday volatility, obviously, on Wednesday, that was that day where we had the … There for a while, we were getting into a pattern. It looks like the buy programs trigger in the mornings, and we head up and then we kind of top out a little bit. Then on Wednesday, in particular, when all of that vernacular was coming out, that’s when we saw that quite volatile day, big swing on the Dow, in particular.

I think it all comes back to the context as well of the Fed. If, in fact, this lower dollar does start to lead to stronger and stronger inflation, when does the Fed start to become a nuisance maybe, if you will, to these markets. We’re going to have a new Fed Chair, it’s going to be a really interesting year, obviously, as we move forward.

So, not a lot of talk about that at this moment in time. Of course, I don’t want to jump too far forward into the data of the week and that sort of thing. But in that context, I think it could be really intriguing as we head forward. Will they continue to be as friendly and benign to the markets in light of the fact that we have these forces that obviously could start to “overheat”, maybe for the first time in this entire bull run.

So that’s something to kind of keep on the back burner, but at least at this moment in time, markets don’t seem to care about that sort of thing at present. So what do you think, Greg, in terms to the Fed?

Greg Jensen:                I think you’re absolutely right there, Karen. I think if you take a step back and look at the big picture economy. If you go back to level one, if you think what we always talk about, what drives the economy. Well, it’s a good labor market. We’ve had a good labor market here, domestically, for several years now. Now, we’re operating, I would say at full employment, yet really through most of 2014 and 2015, even though most of 2016, the market didn’t really rally like you thought it may have based on full employment, based on good S&P earnings. Yeah, it was bullish, but it wasn’t a screaming bullish really until 2017, and now obviously the kickoff of 2018.

I think part of that has been that the different policies that President Trump was elected on, we all knew were going to be good for the economy. I think the first maybe six months, even arguably until the end of the year, the biggest question mark was, “Is this administration going to be able to actually get the things done they said they were going to get done?” So I think there was some question mark, and some people holding back of, “Yeah, we’re really going to really jump into this market until we get the Tax Reform passed.” Once it finally passed, I think all of the people who were maybe whether you want to call them anti-Trumpers, or you want to call them … You know, they just didn’t believe that it was going to happen. Even without being an anti-Trumper, they just didn’t think that government can ever pass anything anymore, because they’re so inefficient.

When it actually happened, and they realized, “I gotta get bullish in this market, because everything is lining up.” We’ve got a fantastic economy here in the United States, but it’s going abroad now, too. We’re seeing strength in Europe, we’re seeing a lot of growth in Europe. We’re seeing even South America, excluding Venezuela, that’s its own mess, obviously. But outside of Venezuela, you’ve got a strong South America. You’ve got strong Asia right now. China is firing on all cylinders, Japan is doing well. Korea’s … I mean, things internationally are growing. We have a full labor market. We have S&P companies beating on the top line.

I know we’re going to get to that to talk about some of these earnings, but I’ll be honest, today’s announcement from Intel was the one that has me as excited about almost any earnings report out there. I guess it was last night, but Intel’s number, to me … They’re old, they’re huge. For them to have good top-line growth, that’s exciting in my opinion, for the potential growth of the economy right now. Because of all of those things, I think the only obstacle that this market can hit right now is the Federal Reserve, and whether the Fed is going to push the brakes from a monetary policy standpoint. But so far, they have not signaled that they want to.

Yeah, they’re talking about raising rates, but they’re so caught in this fear of deflation that this market is running right now. I said we were going to melt up. I thought we could get to 3,500, 3,400 on the S&P. At this rate, we’re going to hit that by April. I hope not, because I’m not that bullish. My positions aren’t that bullish. I do have some covered calls on some of my stocks that I don’t want taken away, but anyhow, yeah the bull is on. Until we see something else come in and try to push the brakes, it’s going to keep going. I would love to see a pullback, to be honest. When markets get this bullish, this parabolic, it it makes you start to question, “Okay, this is feeling too bullish.” And the faster it goes up, the quicker it’s going to come down, too. I’d love to see a breather.

If we could even just go sideways for a couple weeks, that would be fantastic. Let us reset some of these overbought RSIs and overbought technical indicators. Because right now, we’re getting in the ether on this overbought.

Eric Hale:                      I don’t know if you saw the … I pulled up a … I guess it was a few slides ago, but Karen mentioned it and she said a weekly chart. I went back, so here’s a 10 year weekly chart on the S&P 500. Yeah, those are weekly bars. This is 10 years. This is going back to 2007, okay? Look at the RSI here. Look at it! I mean, on the weeklies, we barely get above it. Like Karen pointed out, we’re up over 90 on the RSI. That is incredibly overbought.

I saw somebody posted a technical saying that this has only happened four times in history that we’ve had the RSI coincident with all these other indicators. The technical that they showed indicated … And I’ll see if I can find it. Showed that the market, three months, six months, was higher, even though we were overbought. So what we’re talking about here from a technical standpoint, this an oscillator, because they tend to seek an average. So it spends some time above, and then it spends some time below. Then it kind of goes back and forth. When you get too far on one side, that might be the time to buy. When you’re too close to one … You know, to high, that might be a time to sell. That generally works.

But we’re in this different market. I swear, I mean just the past two years have been the weirdest market. I mean, it’s not like anything I’ve ever seen before. I mean, I’ve got a good solid decade of keeping an eye on this. I go back in back past, and look in 20 or 30 years, even longer. I don’t remember seeing a period with this low volatility, no pullbacks, and now we’re going freaking parabolic here. I mean, it’s insane. It’s insane!

Karen Smith:                Yeah …

Eric Hale:                      I mean, from a technical standpoint, you have to say it’s going to pull back. Go on, Karen.

Karen Smith:                Well, I was just going to say, looking at that [inaudible 00:20:20], that is something I hadn’t looked at, coming into this session. But looking at your [inaudible 00:20:24] as well, take a look at the velocity of that [inaudible 00:20:27]. The only other time, really, that you see quite that velocity and that size on the histogram bar, is back after 2008. So, when we started the recovery, basically, in 2009, was the last time you see that.

So, momentum is a force. Obviously, that fear of missing out, FOMO as we call it, is obviously in play. Record in-flows, in particular, into the SPY, which is sort of that passive investing thesis of … You know, especially individuals like you said, who have not been involved, and finally capitulate and say, “Okay, I give up. I can’t take it anymore.” The same sort of thing that happens in market bottoms, when the last hold-outs sell, and that’s the bottom, and off we go. Same sort of scenario here. I’m not saying we’re copping out at this moment, certainly, with this very strong momentum. But you do kind of have to look at it, shake your head a little bit.

Really, to buy here, with the assumption that we don’t pull back, and that we just continue to go higher, if you’re playing odds, the odds are not really in your favor on that particular trade, at this moment in time. I agree with you, Greg. The best scenario is just a pause, just a healthy pause, that resolves this. But, when you start to get these straight lines to the upside, that’s oftentimes the little mini air pockets, maybe what I call it, are formed, and it can come down just as hard. So that’s why we hedge, and that’s why we have, as you mentioned, secondary exits in place. It’s ready to go, just in case.

Greg Jensen:                And to be honest, just so you guys aren’t looking at your portfolios right now, and you’re looking at the strategies that you’ve learned from us, and you’re wondering, “Man, I’m up this month, but I’m not up like the market is.” Well, part of that is good that you’re not up like the market is, because that means you’re being proper in your trade structure.

When we teach proper risk management, and you actually apply proper risk management, you’re not going to beat the market when it’s doing this kind of thing, because you can’t and still be properly hedged. You have to be all out bullish. The risk of being all out bullish, you pointed out very well Karen, is that at this level, you have to start being cautious. I mean, the weekly trade that I did today on Verizon … Just my selection of Verizon in and of itself was like, I would love to say let’s go do Netflix, but can you even … It’s not that I’m … I’m in Netflix. I am. I’ve got a big position in Netflix. But, I can’t buy any more at this level. I mean, it’s insane up here. I have to wait for a pullback before I jump in there.

So yeah, it’s an interesting bullish market that I expect we need a pullback soon. I still don’t think the pullback’s going to be very big, because I agree with what you said, Eric. I think there’s a lot of money waiting to get to running because of all of the underlying fundamentals in the worldwide economy that are good right now. So even though the market may be a little bit ahead of it and getting expensive, it’s really the only con you can find out there for this marketplace, is simply that the valuations are so high that it needs to breathe for a little bit. Go sideways, if nothing else. Maybe even have a three to five percent pullback and then take off and go bullish again, because of earnings like Intel’s that we just had. I mean, earnings like Netflix. I don’t know, did you guys see Netflix this week?

Eric Hale:                      Don’t you follow me on Twitter?

Greg Jensen:                I do. I know you saw Netflix this week.

Eric Hale:                      I was doing the happy dance this week. I did an exploding [inaudible 00:24:19], a rather large one on it. So I can buy a car. That was a good week.

Greg Jensen:                Yeah.

Eric Hale:                      Yeah, it was a good move. By the way, I love that trade, because it’s like you do have protection to the downside. You got high probability, and if it explodes up, it just … It exceeded my expectations, and man it continued to run. But I hit my primary exit and I was out.

Thinking ahead … I don’t want to get too far ahead with earnings, but be interesting to see some not too far away. We’ve got Apple coming up in a few weeks, but we’ve got some other earnings coming up next week, some tech companies. Of course, Starbucks disappointed, but one thing I do want to do … We had this really bullish discussion. Before we go too far, I wanted to talk a little bit about some of the volatility indices, you know the VIX, which is a little bit higher than … We’ve been talking about it being potentially getting into the low eights here. Now we’re hovering around 11, so there is a little more volatility there.

I wanted to point out the VIX futures though. So the bottom line here is the VIX. These are the VIX futures. The VIX is a calculation. It’s based on puts on the SPX options, the cash [inaudible 00:25:38] It is a direct indication of whether option are expensive or cheap. That’s really all the VIX is. If the VIX is high, then SPX options that expire in 30 days are high, or around there. That’s basically all it means.

What can you assume from that? Well, when it’s high people are nervous, right? But the VIX futures, of course, are traded based on what people’s perception of what the VIX might be in the future. What I see here is this rising up in the … At least, this is the March future, this is June futures, where we got a little spike up and then a pullback. The futures haven’t come back down. In fact, they’ve gone up a little bit, while the VIX has gone down.

So sometimes we see the VIX futures move in one direction. This is why it’s really dangerous to trade those. When people are trading a VIX derivative, you’re not trading the VIX, you’re trading something that’s based on the VIX futures, whether it’s options on the futures, or the actual futures on the futures, or some other sort of derivative. There’s some really funky stuff that’s out there. You’re like, “Well, the VIX went down, but wait, why did my trade go the other way?” That happens. Or the other way, you know, the VIX went up and yours didn’t trade. You’re like, “Why did I not make more money? The VIX moved 10% and my ETF didn’t change.”

This is a little bit bearish concern. So we’ve got VIX, little bit higher, that’s a bearish concern. But what I usually do, I go to look to the futures and think, “What are the futures telling me? Oh wow, the futures are still hanging up here.” That means somebody’s sorta betting that they want to see the VIX up around 13 in the next month. That’s what somebody in the market, or people in the market, maybe that’s where the market thinks they feel a little bit comfortable there. So that is a little bit of fear. That is a little bit of fear in the marketplace and something we should be aware of.

I wanted to take that and go down a couple other paths and talk about some sentimental indicators. When I do the slides … Karen did the slides, by the way, but I threw in a couple extras of my own. Karen did an awesome job, as usual.

Karen Smith:                Thank you, Darling.

Eric Hale:                      You’re welcome. This is the CNN Money Fear & Greed Index. This oscillates between extreme greed and fear. I wish we had an S&P 500 chart to throw in here with it to see, but generally speaking, when it’s very high, those are usually market tops, and the very lows. So we’ve been much, much higher. We haven’t had any bearish markets for quite a while, but we are pretty high. We’re up in this extreme stuff. That is a little bit of a cause for caution for me, when too many people … I think that will be the sign of the top, is when everybody says, “Fine, I’m gonna just put all my money in the market. I’m all in.” Everybody’s like, “It’s going to continue to go higher, and I gotta get it.” And everybody and your grandmother, they’re all putting money in the market, that’ll be the top.

So these warning signs of extreme euphoria in the market, we need to keep an eye on that. It’s not a reason to be bearish, but there is another changing sentiment that I want to share with you. So I subscribe to the Bespoke Premium newsletter, and I share some of the results. There was a day today, they pointed out and said that there’s a significant shift in short interest this week.

So on the 25th, the data from 10 days before … So short interest, that’s how many shares that bears have borrowed from shareholders, with the intention that they’ll sell it at this price and buy it back at another price. That is another bearish sentimental indicator. So I think implied volatility and short interest are two of the best ways to get an objective measure of what the market’s thinking. So there was a pretty significant shift.

So this shows where it was … Because it’s updated every two weeks. This shows where the short interest was, and where it is today. What we’re seeing … So going to the right means more bears, and everything across the board, all the sectors, every one of the sectors here, there has a been a shift in bearish sentiment, more than where it was. Some more than others, but everything went in the same direction.

Now that doesn’t mean that a crash is coming. It doesn’t mean that at all. It’s just one of those things that you’ve gotta say, “Hmm, okay. Let’s take a look at this.” Because some people are bearish. Does this mean that I need to be hedged? We preach this all the time. This means you’ve gotta have your secondary exits in place. When you’re not sure what to do, I know what Karen would say, I know what Greg would say. They would tell you … Well we’re not giving trading advice, but I know what I do with my account, I know what they do with their account. We go [inaudible 00:30:41] and protect ourselves in case something happens.

But I want to dive a little bit deeper down on this, because there’s some information here that might make your jaws drop a little bit. I’m going to look at some of the individual companies that are shorted. So these are the S&P 500 most heavily shorted stocks. This is one that I know a lot of people like to look at, Under Armor. It is now at 31%. That’s 31% of all the shares that exist are short. That’s pretty darn huge.

There’s some other names that are in … You go down a little bit lower, Harley Davidson sometimes. But I know that … So down here, we got a whole bunch of retail. So I know we have some people that trade Mattel, and Nordstrom’s and Macy’s, Ralph Lauren. So there’s a bunch of retail and 15% of their shares are short. This information, you don’t have to get it from Bespoke. It’s available other places. You can find it on Google, a number of different places, but they just did a nice job presenting this information. So this is something to be aware of.

The other thing, if you’re not familiar with short interest, there is a phenomenon called short squeeze, which actually makes the stock price go higher. So, somebody who’s trading Under Armor, or somebody who’s a little bit savvy, they may want to put a bullish trade on it because these bears, when the price goes up, they don’t like that, puts a lot of pain on them. So, if it goes up, those people could decide to get out. When they get out, they buy the stock, makes the stock go higher. These are all candidates potentially for short squeeze.

But what usually happens is that shakes itself out, and then the stock goes back down again. So it’s another reason to be careful, and just not trade just technically, to really dig down and look at some of these sentimental indicators. If you see a stock moving really bullish, “Oh, everybody’s bullish, I’m going to go buy it.” Then you find out what’s just short squeeze, and when all the short interest is gone, then it goes down. So you gotta be careful with that.

Now on the other side of the chart is the least shorted stocks. This is kind of interesting here. So Pepsi, S&P 500, less than .53%, Microsoft, Phillip Morris, there’s some real good quality in here, some interesting companies. So these are the companies that have the least amount of short interest. I’ll leave it for you to digest, but I just thought going back to this and seeing a shift in short interest, it is another sentimental indicator. I showed the VIX futures here, that we got this bump up. I’ll let you two respond. I don’t know whose turn to talk … Was that Karen or Greg?

Greg Jensen:                Well, I just sent you a chart, because I actually … In the background, I thought, “You know what, I’m going to see if I can find something with a longer term, back to when the RSI was this overbought.” But I actually found kind of a scary chart. I sent you an email. It’s actually somebody else’s work, I found it on Twitter. But it’s some interesting trend lines that he’s drawn in there.

What drew me to it first was the overbought RSI, but the interesting trendline … And his caption, by the way, says, “SPX Hell is almost here. Enjoy your weekend.” We’re very overbought. We’ve had a significant rally, and honestly if we don’t get a pullback, I do get more and more worried that something’s going to be this bad.

So here we go. So you can see up there on the top, the RSI level. Like I remember, the last time it was this high was 1998, 1999. The trendlines that are interesting, he’s pointing out obviously some potential reversal levels that it could hit based on the trendline. Now, it doesn’t have to reverse when it hits that trendline, right? It could break right through it and go to the upper level of that trendline also. So there’s a potential for the market to get really bullish, but there’s also the potential for a big pullback right here.

The fact that we’re as overbought as we are … Now these are monthly bars, by the way. These aren’t weeklies, this is a monthly chart. So even that far left side, back in ’99, 2000, even when we were hovering at the potential of a correction level, if you look at this and say, “Hey, there’s a trendline that we’re about to run into. This looks like resistance.” Notice that for 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 months, it hugged that top resistance line that this individual has drawn in there.

So we could keep hugging that top line, but I think what you have to do at this point is what Eric just mentioned. Watch things like short interest, watch volatility. Those are going to be our telltale signs. To me, one of the other ones that I continue to watch … And Karen, I know you put this chart in here. I’m still watching the yield curve on the difference between tens and twos right now. That, to me, it continues to tighten. We’re continuing to see the yield curve flatten.

Now, it’s not negative yet. We’re still positive, but it continues to trend lower, this difference between the two year and the ten year. Because of that, if that ever does roll over, that could be, again, another indicator that it’s time to take some profits off the table, maybe wait for a pullback to jump into the market. I wouldn’t say, in any sense, go short this market. That would be crazy at this point. I think you still have to be long right now, because that’s the trend. But your Spidey senses should be going off here pretty soon, that hey, we’re getting a little overbought. Maybe it makes sense to take some profit off the table. You may not get all of the gain, but you never go broke taking a profit either, is an old saying that I once heard.

Karen Smith:                Spidey sense, I love that. That’s great, Spidey sense! Fantastic, Greg. I couldn’t agree more. I let some things get called away in the last couple of weeks in oil and stuff that was just so unbelievably bullish. It never hurts to raise a little cash in the middle of something like this. That gives you opportunities, or gives you cash available to try to spot opportunities. So, stay long, but hedged. I think that’s what we’re saying.

Eric Hale:                      So this another chart somebody emailed me this week that’s interesting. It’s the one I alluded to earlier. So this is still looking at a different RSI, looking at a 14 month RSI. Every time that we’ve gotten above 85, what’s it look like six months, 12 months, 24, 36 months later?

Six months, we’re up 7.6. In 12, we’re up 17, in 24, 55. These are generally considered really overbought, and the market, every time that’s happened has plowed forward. So this is on the other side of the case, maybe this is bullish indicator. I don’t know. I think you have to look at everything. I don’t think any one of these is going to be right. That’s the thing that scares me, too, in technicals. They can go back and find a technical that proves whatever they want to.

Greg Jensen:                Yeah, and even pointing back, like you said, pointing back to that chart that I just sent you, it doesn’t … Just because it’s at that middle potential resistance line, that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to hold. It may blast to the upper one right now. That’s a very real chance. We could keep going bullish. I just want a breather.

All right, what else drove the market this last week? I know we’ve got some earnings that performed really well. We had some economic data, let’s talk about that first. Economic data was kind of mixed. I mean, we had some home sales data that was both missed expectations, though pretty solid numbers, to be honest. Both new home sales and existing home sales were okay, considering the mortgage rate is starting to creep up. You do see that starting to climb back up again. So new home sales was good.

GDP actually missed its number for the month, though still in a nice, positive trend line. The best one I saw this week was the Durable Goods order. The Durable Goods number was solid, indicating … To me, this is a reflection of things to come, because I believe we’re just starting to see the tip of the iceberg when it comes to capital expenditure, because of the new tax bill.

I think, again, if you believe what Apple said, they’re going to bring a lot of money back home, and they’re going to put it to work here. They’re going to be doing a lot of Durable Goods orders. That was a very positive number. So, yeah, economic events were kind of mixed, but I’m still seeing they were relatively positive.

Eric Hale:                      The other one was Initial Claims, which was up a little bit. So they revised up 17,000 from last week. We’re at 233,000 Initial Claims. It’s seasonally adjusted, which okay, but I think putting it in this perspective, we go back to 72 and really look at where we’re at and see. So this dotted line is a four week average, is what it is. That’s what that dotted line.

It shows that we’re … Somebody made a comment earlier in one of the chats about, are we near full unemployment. I argue that we can get down into the low threes, mid to low threes. I think we can see a three … We’ll find out next week. We’re getting ahead of ourselves, but the employment situation, I think we can see a 3.5 if things continue to go the way they are.

I do think from a fundamental standpoint, the TDP is plowing forward. All of the things … And I think there’s more opportunity for growth. This is hard to get this much, much lower than here. I mean, I don’t know that we can get down to 200,000 just because of the way things work. I mean, some people just automatically get laid-off seasonally, and there’s nothing you can do about it. We can only get so low.

But I do think the employment situation, I think we are going to see inflation, we are going to see wage growth. The other big one you touched home sales. So new home sales, it’s a choppy number. So it didn’t freak people out. But one of the things that I did want to point out, and that is the difference between existing homes and new homes. Historically, there’s always been a pretty good correlation between those. Through the crisis that happened through 2007, both markets took a real beating, but new home sales took a real beating.

I mean, look at this. We are still not even back to where we were back in ’94 for new home sales. That market has not come back. During this period of time, all of this time, new home sales is what grew the market, and we’re not even there yet. We talk about shifting demographics and millennials, heard an interesting stat. One in four millennials has $100,000 in their 401K. I think they’re a little bit more conservative, probably because they’re tempered by … They lived through this. They’re old enough to remember it. Maybe they were young teenagers or something, but they certainly are astute enough to know that that happened. Maybe that’s impacting them, but those people are going to buy homes eventually, and maybe it’s multi-level homes. I don’t know. They might all go live in communes and they’re going to move out of their parents’ basements some day.

I do think what’s going to happen when we start getting inflation, we start getting wage growth, and we start getting housing really taking off, this market could continue to rip just insanely higher. It can happen. I know we’re giving arguments for both, and I always trade heads. I always make sure that I have an exit strategy, but I think you can make a bullish case here, too, for the market to continue. I don’t think anybody could deny that. I think the case is there.

Greg Jensen:                Especially if you saw Netflix earnings.

Eric Hale:                      Yeah, Netflix. That was fun.

Greg Jensen:                It was fun. I keep thinking, “Okay, this short call’s okay. I’ll sell this one that’s $20 out of the money.” Then two days later it’s in the money, and I’ll like, “All right, I’ll roll it out 20 more dollars.” Then it goes into money.

Eric Hale:                      $20.

Greg Jensen:                Good grief.

Eric Hale:                      That’s a logarithmic look at it.

Greg Jensen:                274, yeah now I’m now five dollars in the money again on my short call.

Eric Hale:                      Oh yeah. Maybe you’re going to be selling …

Greg Jensen:                Maybe I’ll let it go.

Eric Hale:                      You’re going to sell some stock. And Starbucks got beat up this week. Intel was fantastic. Karen, which of these were you following this week? I wish Jeff was here to talk about American.

Karen Smith:                Yeah, well I’ll talk about Starbucks in my stocks to watch, since it’s one I picked for the year. But as far as the airlines go, that is one area that had some volatility, downside volatility this week. It was actually the dreaded words that you never want to hear if you are investing in airlines, additional capacity. It wasn’t American that said it. It was actually United said it in their earnings report. They were down double digits, Delta, America, you know, the entire space sold off on that. The earnings have been good, actually, in this space. So think that that might present a short-term sentimental opportunity for some of these, particularly American and Delta. But those are the ones that I was following and I’ll save Starbucks for my stocks to watch section.

Eric Hale:                      What’s the …

Karen Smith:                Greg, did you follow any of those? What’s that?

Eric Hale:                      What’s United symbol now?

Greg Jensen:                UAL.

Karen Smith:                UAL, I believe.

Eric Hale:                      Oh, okay.

Karen Smith:                Do you follow any of those, Greg, besides Netflix?

Greg Jensen:                Yeah, a handful of them. Intel’s earnings were solid, both Freeport McMoran and Halliburton reported this last week. I think the picture, if you step back so far, you have to say … And the reason why I pointed out Intel to being the highlight is, the highlight to me so far this earning season as a conglomerate SMP, is we’re beating on top-line revenues.

That’s exciting. That means the economy’s really growing. It’s not just financial engineering, it’s not just the companies buying back shares so that they manipulate their earnings per share higher. It is legitimate demand for product, and we’re seeing it in a lot of different spaces. Even though Starbucks got beat up … And I’m interested to hear your commentary on it later, Karen. I listened to the interview that … I think, was it Kramer that did the interview this morning on CNBC with the CEO of Starbucks? I have to say, it still is pretty … I’m still pretty bullish on Starbucks, even though they didn’t perform here domestically. That was one of the things that caused them to have a little bit of pullback.

But yeah, the airline industry did get beat up. I think this is a competition thing. Competition’s good for all things. It had a nice rip to the upside. This is one of the reasons why I think Warren Buffett said he’ll never earn airlines, is because they do these type of things. Of course, then he went and bought airlines, right? Doesn’t he own United? Anyway …

Eric Hale:                      He owns a bunch of airlines.

Greg Jensen:                Yeah, they have a lot of cash right now. That’s definitely one thing. It’s one of the reasons why Boeing keeps ripping to the upside. Even though they’re selling more airbuses right now, it seems like, than Boeings. But market doesn’t care. At least Boeing doesn’t care. Boeing just goes up.

Eric Hale:                      Boeing just goes up, yeah. They never land.

Greg Jensen:                You want to talk about a parabolic chart, Boeing’s chart is parabolic right now. Unbelievable to the upside. That stock just goes up seven bucks every day. It paused a little bit, but yeah, look at that. It was at 160.

Eric Hale:                      Yeah, 156.

Greg Jensen:                It’s $346 a share.

Eric Hale:                      That’s crazy.

Karen Smith:                Yeah.

Eric Hale:                      Crude’s high. I mean, it’s made a nice bullish run here over the past few months, continues to run up. Crude impacts our economy. Nobody’s howling yet. I do think there’s some natural resistance that’s in there, because capacity’s going to come. I understand that we’re going to hit … Our new capacity’s going to go back and exceed, apparently what we were when Nixon was in office. A lot of American capacity coming online. It’s interesting to see what happens when crude going too high’s not good. But up here, start making it good for some of the oil companies, bringing some service and seeing some capital again, when the refineries start spending money because they’re making more money.

There’s a lot of ancillary businesses that are going to do well because other capital projects, people do projects, and they buy steel, and then steel workers get jobs, and blah, blah, blah. So, oil going up and getting it … That sector of the economy, too high’s bad for the economy but somewhere around here is kind of getting close to a sweet spot, where it’s going to be good for business. That could be another boon economically.

Another one that was this week for earnings, Caterpillar was up huge, was a really good three percent. The pre-market ended up coming down flat, but they had record sales, I think best sales they’ve had in 10 years. Just phenomenal. Another good sign, because they’re a bell weather for not just the U.S., but internationally, because they sell a lot of products around the world, especially China. So lots of reasons to be bullish out there.

So you want to jump to what’s going on next week? We got a big week next week for economic reports. There’s a lot of stuff coming out. Of course, the biggest one is the Michigan sentiment … No wait. I was just joking. Non-foreign payrolls and the unemployment situation, that’s the Big Kahuna, that’s the one that’s going to drive the market. Greg what else are you looking at this week?

Karen, what are you looking at this week?

Karen Smith:                Well, obviously payrolls are always important, so we’ll take a look at that on Friday. We’ve got the ISM index to talk about manufacturing, we’ve got some continuing home sale information. This is one of those weeks where we have a lot of information from all of the different sectors, areas of the economy that we watch. I love these kinds of weeks, because I feel like we get a lot of info.

Consumer confidence, which has been, of course, astoundingly high. It’ll be interesting to see if it continues to stay there. PCE prices, our outgoing Fed Chair, Janet Yellen said that that’s the number that she has focused on most closely. That’s not necessarily to say that it’s going to remain that way before our new fed board. We shall see, but a lot of great info.

We want to take a look, and parse through this data carefully, because of all of this bullishness, maybe … If we don’t want to call it exuberance or irrationality, or whatever, let’s just call it excitement, anyway, in the market, is predicated on this pattern, and all of these things that Eric, you so beautifully discussed, continuing. So that’s why we always want to pay attention to these numbers.

FOMC, don’t really expect any surprise there. I don’t think they’re going to raise rates here, especially with her leaving and whatnot. So I think that’s going to be a non-event. Greg, anything in particular here?

Greg Jensen:                Jobs. That’s to me, the one I look at. Any time it’s on the list, that’s the one I look at, and non-foreign payroll. So we’ll see how that comes in.

Eric Hale:                      Ditto, okay. Well then let’s move to announcements. Greg, you want to talk about announcements, or no?

Greg Jensen:                Yeah, just a couple of them. We’re late on time, so I’ll remind you. We’ve got a couple of fun events coming up. We’ve got Trade School, which is obviously our partner event we do with E-Trade. Our first one we’re kicking off in Dana Point on February 10th. So that’s coming up in just a couple weeks. So if you live in Southern California, want to come spend the day with us, learn how to use E-Trades platform, get some education from myself, we’re going to be doing that February 10th.

Then the big event is March 23rd and 24th in San Antonio, our next upcoming summit. Looking forward to that one as well. Make your travels.

Lucy got mad at somebody.

Karen Smith:                Oh wow, that was great.

Eric Hale:                      No, that’s my wife. The garage door just opened [crosstalk 00:52:27].

So, the other one is tomorrow, Jeff and I are doing the Trader’s Workshop. It will be on noon Eastern Time. We spend about four hours going through … I’ve been actually doing some due diligence. I almost always place the trade. So this is a lot like a 6.9. In 6.9, we go through setting up a trade, except it’s stuff we actually want to trade, and how we actually trade it. So 6.9 isn’t how I normally trade, because we’re just using the information that we have up until level six.

I trade in my own way, so this is real trading and some good stuff. I’m going to go through an example of a Tesla trade that I have open right now. I just want to walk people through it and show it. Then I’ll come up with a couple different companies that I’m going to trade, and I’ll go through all due diligence. Jeff will do something like that, too.

If you’re interested in coming, it is recorded. It’s archived if you can’t make it, but get with customer service if you don’t see the link. You should be able to see the link on the community website. If you can’t see the link, get with customer service right away.

Greg Jensen:                Okay, take us to our Stocks to Watch. Let’s start with Karen today. What do you got, Karen?

Karen Smith:                Okay, well I already mentioned the first one, which was Starbucks. Sierra, Bravo, Uniform, X-ray. I loved what you discussed, Greg, actually. I haven’t had a lot of time to sit and really parse through the earnings report yet. Any time that you get comp sales that aren’t favorable, that’s never going to be good for any sort of retailer. It certainly wasn’t for Starbucks.

Technically speaking, however, it closed off of the low point of the day, fell right to what we would consider to be an initial support at the low point of the day, at about $56, $57. I’ll be taking some time to go through those fundamentals and read through what was said on this conference call. But this could be an interesting opportunity. I won’t likely trade it for the next several days, but wait to see if you get follow-through to the downside, or if you start to see any sort of appetite, given that we don’t get pullbacks, as we’ve discussed, if investors might want to come in here. So that’s my first one.

The other two, I just thought I’d take a look at the equities that I’m watching for the year. So the second one is Macy’s, ticker symbol M, as in Michelle. I realize that’s not the phonetic alphabet, but nonetheless. Eric, it was really intriguing when you were talking about short interest, because with Macy’s sitting at, I think it was about 15% short interest or so. It was higher levels a few months ago. It was over 20%, so we’ve already seen … And I think that that’s part of what you see in that bullish chart, short interest covering at this point.

I continue to see articles, discussions, about this company being a potential takeover candidate for Amazon. I trade this, I have shares, it’s a great dividend payer. I put diagonals and things of that sort as hedges. Got in, right there, at that last earnings event, toward the bottom there at about 17. It’s not parabolically moving, but it certainly is holding it’s own at this point in time. So that’s an interesting  one to take a look at.

Then finally, Exxon. That was my third company for the year, X-Ray, Oscar, Mike. As much as the oil space has had a really nice bullish trend here, to start off the year. This was one that was sort of left behind some of the others, Occidental Petroleum and some others had outperformed last year. So maybe a little bit of catch up going on. I think that as it gets close to overbought conditions, it may hesitate here for a bit. This again, a good dividend paying stock, and an interesting one to take a look at. [inaudible 00:56:13], covered calls, all those sorts of things are great to trade candidates.

So those are my three to watch.

Greg Jensen:                Eric, what are you looking at?

Eric Hale:                      Well, first thing I’m goin to do is take myself off mute. Can you guess what my first stock to watch would be? I’m going to steal yours. [crosstalk 00:56:35] It’s a fruit company from Cupertino, yes. Apple has been … The haters want to hate. There’s been a lot of people that have been trying to drag this thing down. We had some, I think some dubious reports that came out over the holidays, some other pullbacks.

I am going to trade it. I am probably going to trade it bullishly, and doing something that will put me as a secondary exit on stock, going through it. We’ll see. I have to think when we get a little bit closer. It’s anybody’s … Nobody knows where … It can go up, it can go down. I’ll take a look at where I think it can move and determine where I’m going to put my break evens, but I would only trade it because I’m willing to own it.

So if it goes up, I make money. If it goes sideways, I’ll break even or make money. If it goes down a little bit, I’ll be able to get out for a small profit. If it goes down a little bit more than a little bit, I’ll buy it. If it goes down a lot, well then we’ll see what happens. But interesting to see a lot …

The Home Pod’s out now. Finally that came out for pre-order. I can’t understand why anybody would spend 350 bucks if you already have an Alexa. I already have three Alexas. I don’t think I’m going to buy a Home Pod. So anyways, February 1st is earnings for Apple. I am most definitely going to trade it.

The second stock to watch, and this is one that … I meant to talk about it a little bit earlier. Folks, if you’ve been listening to me talk about this for a while, you would kind of be in tune to this. Twitter, I’ve been in it for a while. Big move today, and the reason that it went up today … She’s answering me by the name that I just said. She’s answering me, because she heard me talk, say her name, The Home Assistant.

Big move today in Twitter, based on a short seller, who’s had in the past been short on Twitter, came out today and said, “I am not short on Twitter, I am long on Twitter because I think they’re going to be acquired.” So, I like Twitter. I’m still playing that same song. I still think it could go. We have the horned owl pattern going on here. I’m kidding. I just made that up. It does kind of look like a horned owl, though, right? You got two little ears, is that the [inaudible 00:58:50]? I just made it up, I’m kidding. Twitter is my second stock to watch.

The other one is … There’s still some value that’s out there when you look at companies. One of the few companies that I think is still under-priced  … There’s another one that I’m not going to mention, because I’m going to save it for you guys tomorrow. So if you guys are coming to the trade, there’s a company I’m really excited about, one I never talk about, I’m only going to save it for you. I’ll talk about it tomorrow and we’ll be setting up a trade on it, so come. It’s a big secret! I won’t tell you what it is unless you’re there.

GM is another one, though. There’s another one I’m not talking about. GM, General Motors, Golf, Michael. I still think the company’s worth, I think they’re worth something around $60, 60 plus. I think, fundamentally, a great company, lots of room to grow. I really only became a fan a few months ago because of the fundamentals. So those are my three stocks to watch. I’ll turn it over to you.

Greg Jensen:                All right, first one to look at’s one that … ETF that I was looking at a couple weeks ago. The trend is still going. That is Golf, Lima, Delta. Gold is still trending higher right now. Again, it’s primarily a dollar story. They are at an interesting level here, in the 128 range. You can see that was the former high back in September, before. It then took a big dip again. So you might see a little bit of a battle going on. I just think you’re going to see a little bit of profit taking. Let the RSI reset. Exactly what I wish the S&P would do right now. But I think the upward trend in gold is going to continue. So that’s the first one I’m looking at this week.

The next one I’m looking at, I’ll actually be looking at this company very, very close next week. That is Delta, India, Sierra. Not from the standpoint of I’m looking at the stock. I’m actually going to help contribute to their earnings next week. The fam and I are making the trip to Anaheim, actually tomorrow. We’re getting on the road. My kids love to do road trips, so we’re going to get on the road. We’re going to drive our 10 hour drive down to Anaheim. We bought a bunch of new movies to throw in the car while we’re driving. We’re going to have a fun drive through Southern Utah and Nevada. We’re going to go spend some money at Disneyland this week.

I do actually like where their stock’s at. They’ve got earnings in a couple weeks. They’ve had a hard time getting through this 113, 114 level. As you can see, that goes clear back to May. It’ll be interesting to see if some of the changes they’ve made, the pay roll changes they’ve made at ESPN, some of the cord-cutting, some of the things that they talked about with their last earnings report that Bob Iger talked about that got the company excited again, got the stock moving again back to the upside. We’ll see how many they’ve been able to implement, kind of some of their game plan, but quite honestly this is a stock that I still just believe … A company that just prints money, with all of the different product lines they have. So, I like Disney right here. I think there’s a chance for them to finally break above this 114 level, but that’s a key level I’m looking at.

Last one is an earnings play this coming week. I’m sure it’s on most of your lists as well. Apple’s not the only one announcing this week, Eric. You talked about Apple. It’s the company that’s just a little bit smaller than Apple, market cap wise. There’s not many companies bigger than Faceplant, Bravo, as Jeff would call it. Facebook has earnings this week and they’ve had a nice … Excuse me, next week on the first, I believe, is their earnings event.

If their earnings go anything like some of the other fang stocks that have announced so far, expect this stock to be in the low 220s sometime two weeks from now. I don’t know, I can’t guarantee that it’s going to do that. This one has a much bigger market cap than Netflix does already. So it’s not as if it’s going to be the first time. You know, Netflix just went over 100 billion market cap. The market cap on Facebook is significantly higher than that already. But again, it’s in the fang space, and they still dominate their place.

The only reason it had its pullback a couple weeks ago, remember, was all an assumption, based off of some comments that Mark Zuckerberg made that said, “Hey, we’re going to rearrange our Newsfeed, and make not as many advertisements. We’re going to try to make it more people-centric.” Of course, the market immediately sold it off, and stock went from 190 to 175 in a few days. It’s right back at 190. Quite honestly, any time you see assumptive moves like that, even when they’re on really heavy volume … We don’t know what that’s going to do to the earnings.

So this earnings report is going to be very interesting, particularly with their commentary of what their forward guidance is in relation to some of the changes they will have made on their Newsfeed. Any time of blip, in my opinion, to the downside, is going to be create a buying opportunity, because fundamentally these guys still are dominating the future of marketing, and the future of advertising, and quite honestly, potentially the future of entertainment, for that matter.

So are they expensive? Yes. They traded at 37 price to earnings ratio. Could they get even higher? Yeah, I think they could. I think you’re going to see a big number from them next week. Like I said, it would not be out of my realm to see the stock trading at 220 in a couple weeks. Don’t go make a trade on it, don’t go bet on it. Build your trade, build your exit point, build your both primary and secondary, and make it on a rational decision.

Okay, those are the ones I’m looking at. I also heard Dell’s considering going IPO again. I don’t know if you saw the announcement. They’re buying VMware right now, and considering IPO’ing again. We’ll see.

Eric Hale:                      Well, they bought EMC. That didn’t go so well. Then VMware spun off of EMC, and everybody needs new laptops. Desktop computers, that’s definitely the market people … I fully recommend. Good luck with that.

Greg Jensen:                Might be a good short opportunity. We’ll see.

Eric Hale:                      I’m sure they have a good idea, but … Go on.

Greg Jensen:                Any final thoughts before we wrap it up for the week? Karen, I’ll start with you.

Karen Smith:                Everybody have a great weekend! Greg, travel safely with the Jensen family. Greg, one question that keeps coming up over here in the chat is about your uncle, and that sort of uncle indicator that you talk about in the marketplace. So have we heard from your uncle recently in terms of where we are in the market?

Greg Jensen:                Yep. Uncle Scott’s been talking to me about the market lately. I hate to say it. It may be the indicator. He’s active again.

Karen Smith:                There we go. Well everybody, remember primary and secondary exits that’s tradable bullishly, but always know that things can change. Thanks Gentlemen, it was a lot of fun as always!

Greg Jensen:                Eric?

Eric Hale:                      I want to tell everybody to get yourself to … Make a goal to go at least one summit, if not all of them. But take a hard look and plan on getting to San Antonio. Enough time to plan on it, work on the agenda, they just continue to get better and better. It’s going to be a really good one. So I look forward to seeing everybody at The Summit. Check the website for details.

Greg Jensen:                Thanks everybody! Have a wonderful weekend and we’ll see you all again, same time, same place next week! Have a great week!

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Robert Cronyn
Robert Cronyn
I was very hesitant to join Options Animal, I guess I'm just a suspicious person. I just never know if I purchase something like this, will be worth the money. I have traded for over 40 years, so I didn't know if they were just going to teach me what I already know. In the end, I went for it, and I'm so happy that I did. I just finished the course and it was more informative that I could have ever dreamed of. They also give you weekly trades and they are incredibly consistent with winning trades. I couldn't be more happy with the classes and the weekly trades. Most of the classes that I took were taught by a woman named Karen. She is one of the best teachers I have ever had and I graduated from UCLA. Her knowledge of trading options is top notch and the way she conveys that knowledge is very easy to understand.Options Animal was the best investment I have ever made!
Steve Rosenlund
Steve Rosenlund
Some classes are very technical, I can repeat them as needed. I would rather retake a class than see it dumbed down.
Very Educational, I have been trading options for some time and I have recently purchased their classes and I have learned a considerable amount in the little time I have been attending. So far I am very pleased I joined this community.
Robert Brown
Robert Brown
It is legit with certified courses and tax incentives.
Eric Hale
Eric Hale
The best place to learn how to trade stocks and options.OptionsANIMAL teaches a unique, straightforward 6-step process. It's flexible. It allows you to develop an approach that is suitable for you. Works for large portfolios looking for protection and income. Works for smaller portfolios looking for leverage and growth. Their process steps through developing a trading plan that works in any situation - bullish, bearish, or stagnant. And, more importantly, the plan allows for adjusting when the trade goes against you. There is a vibrant community of like-minded people. The instructors and members are available to provide support and ideas everyday. Daily market updates. The instructors share real-money trades from their portfolios every week. Fair warning, there is a learning curve. Like anything good, it requires some time and effort on your part to to get through the curriculum. Live and recorded classes allow you to move at your own pace. The instructors and community members are there help you along the way. You should definitely check it out. There's a reason why thousands of people have been through this program: it works.
Blaine Jones
Blaine Jones
Options Animal is one of the best, if not the best, educational experience I have ever had. If there were more than 5 stars I would rate them a 10.
My passion to trade has grew so big , Kathy have made my world beautiful for earning $6,570 on my little investment of $650 , I was always losing on options market .. Ever since I invest with Kathy Clarke, i was always on the good side. she never gamble with me but trade for me,,, all Thanks to Kathy Clarke for my wonderful earning..
I fully recommend Her to you to also share this great experience with me
Email:[email protected]
WhatsApp: +15182822295
Bill Madison
Bill Madison
The lessons are excellent, organized and easy to follow . Can take you from beginning student all the way through "PHD" level options trading. Several instructors to choose from (all good) and each has his/her own style to make learning FUN. The best part is : you become a profitable trader.
Jim Hores
Jim Hores
I found this to be an outstanding program - in-depth knowledge you cannot find anywhere else and the staff is always very supportive. I give it an A++.
G.K. Self
G.K. Self
OptionsANIMAL is not the first trading education I've paid for, but it is BY FAR THE BEST! I've been studying with OA for about 18 months and have not once been disappointed in the instruction or support services. OptionsANIMAL is pure class all the way through. The instructors earned their way into their positions, so they speak with real rather than theoretical knowledge. The lessons plans are clear and comprehensive, and the instructors are skilled communicators. They are also accessible as you can address questions to them and they actually respond.I have gained so much trading confidence through OptionsANIMAL that I see it as a vital part of my life. The emphasis on secondary and tertiary exits has allowed me to react confidently whichever direction the market turns.I could go on to the point where this review would lose credibility, so I'll stop by saying joining OptionsANIMAL is one of the best decisions of my life. It has blown the doors of possibility wide open for the future.
I have been a member of Options Animal for slightly over a year. This is by far the best service I have ever used. My membership includes the education, weekly market reviews, Instructor Trades, and twice a month interactive session with one of the instructors. I find everything to be highly educational and helpful to help me become a successful Options trader. I love Options Animal and will become a lifetime member soon. I have had a great year.... Thank you Options Animal!!!
Jerry Boatman
Jerry Boatman
Fantastic Training that you can do at your own pace.
Dearl Dotson
Dearl Dotson
This course is the most in depth study of options that I have experienced. Having over 30 years experience trading in the stock market and an MBA, I thought I had knowledge. I did but it was only superficial. Well worth the money.
Rina Shinn
Rina Shinn
This is the program that I wish I knew at the beginning before I poured in ridiculous amount of money in order to learn about options trading. Highly recommended.
Gopal Kalra
Gopal Kalra
Absolutely best school to learn options trading, OA has the best instructors and a fantastic curriculum for anyone who wants to learn and trade options, OA is by the the best online education for learning how to trade using options.
Gerry Young
Gerry Young
I've been an Options Animal member / student for a bit over a year now and am incredibly impressed with the organization, their depth of knowledge, their teaching methods and their support of their students. In fact, I just signed up for life time membership so that I can continue to make use of the resource for the rest of my trading career.Before becoming a student of O/A I had been studying options trading technique on my own, attending webinars buying books from Amazon & etc. for about three years and not doing very well at it. I was also trading equities as I had been for the past 17 years and my portfolios were increasing in value from my efforts but not by leaps and bounds. In fact I was just covering living expenses plus a little bit and looking for a way to become a more successful trader; hence my foray into options.Joining Options Animal was like stumbling out of the woods and into the sunshine. "Don't try to trade options until the end of the course when you will have learned how to do it." was their first piece of advice. ( Wish I'd had that tattooed on my wrist three years ago. It would have saved me a bundle.) Next piece of advice: "If you do experiment with trading options just count the results as increased tuition costs." (Yeah, I had to learn that the hard way.)Then they proceeded to a very detailed analysis of markets / equity trading with instructions on where to find the real information for fundamental analysis. This alone resulted in a measurable improvement in my efforts at equity trading. After that it was straight into options, "the Greeks" & etc.What makes the O/A teaching method a cut above anything else, in my opinion, is that there are four primary instructors all from different backgrounds who each teach all the lessons in the curriculum. All of their efforts are recorded in the O/A archives which gives the student the ability to gain exposure to the same material from four different perspectives. And because the instructors are continually presenting the material over time one can gain a better understanding from listening to the same person giving the same talk but in a slightly different way.Any points not clearly understood can be repeated instantly or reviewed in its entirety later. Students can also interact with the instructors in real time during the scheduled sessions or attend the weekly open forums to cover specifics and have additional questions answered. One is not locked into a rigid class schedule which is going to move forward whether the student understands the presented material or not.In addition there is a bulletin board / chat room organized by courses and lessons and related subjects where students and interact and learn techniques from each other and the participating instructors.Long story short: if you really want to improve your trading to the point where your success rate is above the ninety percentile point then Options Animal is what you've been looking for.
Dora Murphy
Dora Murphy
Great company, Great investors, it's only when a company serves her investors with truthfulness and reliability that it may produce great investors.
This awesome company has been making thousands of people millionaires every year according to the company's info.
At first I doubted, but at a point I decided to give them a trial and here I am now sharing my testimony.
You too can benefit from this same company from anywhere around the world, you only have to contact one of the company manager person like Mrs Patricia Brayan to help you grow your investment capital within a week, contact her via whatsapp number:+1(608)6186312 or email: [email protected]
Joseph Woollen
Joseph Woollen
I have been pleasantly surprised with Options Animal. Having used other options training programs with limited success, going through the Options Animal courses has been like getting a graduate degree. Their courses are comprehensive yet understandable, and it’s particularly helpful to go into their video archives to take the same courses numerous times - each with a different instructor with a slightly different teaching approach. And it’s hard to beat theIr support and collateral materials.I highly recommend Options Animal.J. Michael Woollen
Joe Kocks
Joe Kocks
I am really happy I decided to subscribe to OptionsAnimal. Trading options is not easy, but OptionsAnimal provides you with all the information you need to trade options successfully. They cover all the different option trades, and, in the higher level lectures, they have algorithms which guide you through the management of trades after they are placed. I highly recommend OptionsAnimal.
Very professional group. Brice Hogan provided excellent pre and post sales support. The instructors are diverse and provide different views on the same subjects which helps me to be thoughtful about the subjects and retain the information. The classes are well laid out and build upon themselves. The community approach provides me with an environment that will foster lifetime learning. This is not the first investment education company but their lifetime membership is an excellent value for my long-term growth. Thank you.
John Daggerhart
John Daggerhart
Very straight forward solid education. No get rich quick B.S. Learn, follow, prosper!
Markus Bandomir
Markus Bandomir
Amer Khurshid
Amer Khurshid
Options Animal is best place to learn options. There is no other place even close. The instructors are available are very knowledgeable and will do everything to make sure you learn. Also it is like community and you can learn a lot by reading posts and questions from everyone. You can also follow instructors trades in paper trading account to learn and adjust. Instructors like Eric, Charan, Horace, Joe, Karen and Jeff and wounderful folks like us- They are always available to help me. I feel lucky that I found them.
Joy Chidinma
Joy Chidinma
I never believed it works this way, i was very doubtful about Bitcoin and all other online trading , I decided to risk $600 with Mrs Peggy Abbott fx, after I saw testimonies of people on how good she is but I was Very skeptical but she prove me wrong with my first trade and I'm so happy today, so I'm recommending her to everyone of you to invest with her and testify like me. Contact her now on
Email: [email protected]
WhatsApp +1(475) 295-1383....
Jordan Oram
Jordan Oram
LOVE the course curriculum and instructors! I have been, and will continue, to direct people towards OA as the #1 place to learn both Options Training, as well as a deeper understanding of the important of knowing the market movements, impact of various meetings/announcements, and the value of deep fundamental research.Truly am much better for having spent the time with OA that I have and look forward to learning much more with them in the future as well!
Peter Schulz
Peter Schulz
This company is for real! The education is top-notch and can help you whether a beginner or a seasoned veteran looking for new approaches. If you are looking for the resources you need to add options trading to your investing, I can't imagine a better place to get it. The community is amazing and supportive, the instructors are great, and the site has endless archives to go through. Following along with experienced traders as they identify, make, and then adjust trades really drives the lessons home. I wish I had joined this 10 years ago.
EJ Esposito
EJ Esposito
I decided to become a lifetime member of Options Animal. The courses they have are very detailed and really answer the questions I have. If you find that you still have questions, you can reach out to the instructors for additional clarification. Also the courses are updated all the time so they discuss what the current state of options are, which is great! Im excited to continue my Options journey with Options Animal!
Danny Bayt
Danny Bayt
I am very impressed with the quality of education at OA. I am now confident that I can enter a trade with more than hope as a strategy.
Hands down the best financial education program I've seen. Game changing in terms of my knowledge and performance!
Rob Helean
Rob Helean
After many years of trying, I now have confidence I can make great passive income through trading. Without OptionsANIMAL, I doubt I would have ever got there. The instructors and courses are great! I have not had a losing trade since joining. What has being key for me are the exit strategies, when Plan A has failed, you have a Plan B, Plan C.... This is key to becoming a success. In addition, I have found the weekly review a great watch. A good pulse check for how my own trading is going!
Nag Malluru
Nag Malluru
I like the education that OA provides and it is really interesting to see all these strategies in real world. I am seeing the difference already and excited to be part of this.Community and Live tabs are amazing and helps us to stay connected with the schedule and other member thoughts etc.
Anthony Hyde
Anthony Hyde
If you are serious about learning options, this is the place to be. I got interested in option in late 1990's. I saw that you could leverage a small amount of money to make big money. Went in with a mind set of "get rich quick" attitude, that was a mistake. Did not touch options again until more recently. Thank goodness I found OptionANIMAL. I was skeptical but felt like I needed to learn more before giving it a try again. Glad I did because I learned a lot and continue to do so. To be successful you must put in the work and have a plan. OpttionANIMAL was the help I needed with material and teachers who were eager to share their knowledge. Here I was able to learn from the courses how to avoid all the most common mistakes, how to allocate your portfolio when making a trade, how to adjust a trade and much more.I can’t say enough about the teachers and how willing they are to help you learn and set you straight. They are all different and have different perspectives of how to handle and analyze the market. Each one brings different knowledge and experience. If you are willing to put in the time and effort you can up your game. There are no guarantees, but you want to make sure you hedge your knowledge to be on the right side of the trade.
Sergey Golub
Sergey Golub
If you a new or an experienced options trader this is very much desired service where you can learn a lot and get help when you need it most from live coaches at Options Animal.Keep up guys with great work!S. G.
They teach everything you need to know about trading stocks and options. And they don't just teach you what a strategy is, they teach how and when to use it, how to maximize your returns, and protect yourself against market shifts! I had never heard of "trade adjustments" before OA, and now some of my biggest profits have come from trades I would've previously closed for a loss!Other companies send out trade alerts based on "back-tested" algorithms (hypothetical trades). Whereas with OptionsANIMAL you see REAL trades their instructors place with their own money! There is nothing hypothetical about them! The instructors share their backup plans and the due diligence that lead them to place that trade. These have helped me to refine my own trading and how I structure positions in my accounts.I am so grateful that I found OptionsANIMAL. If you are serious about trading, you need to check these guys out. You'll be glad you did.
Susan Taylor
Susan Taylor
Options Animal is a very honest company. They will work with you if you need help.
Wendy McLaren
Wendy McLaren
I was with Options Animal for 18 months and learned so much useful information that I needed in order to trade options successfully. I am very satisfied with my experience working with them. There is an abundance of resources on their website and I was able to post questions to the coaches and other participants with responses that were quick and answered all my questions. It took a lot of hard work on my part to learn this but their education was top notch. They are a very professional company and I wish I could stay on with them but at the same time, I feel I’ve learned enough to move forward on my own. I highly recommend Options ns Animal to anyone who is truly wanting to learn to trade options
Karim Lopez
Karim Lopez
Guys.,, I´m enchant, the learning is being great, I personally have to tell you that the return on investment was in 4 weeks, I´m so happy I feel blessed that I found options animal. Eric, Karen Jim, Joe, Charan, all instructors are great and easy to work with it.thanks for changing my life as an investor, I had 22 years as an investor and this by far has been the best of best learning experiences.RegardsKarim
Edward Parker
Edward Parker
I took the plunge with OptionsANIMAL because I was tired of "running in place" with my options trades. I'm just getting started with the Level 5 classes, and already my trading results have improved, substantially. The amount of training material that is available is incredible. If you take the time to actually study the material your trading will never be the same.
David Vaillette
David Vaillette
I had tried training with a couple of other courses, and was losing badly. Happened across Options Animal, and it was a whole new world. Here I found out that it's a lot more than just buying or selling puts and calls. Better details on choosing equities, strategies to minimize risk and maximize using the markets direction. Great training available with multiple instructors. If the first one doesn't match your personality great, there are 6 more. Worked for me. Can't say enough for the training! Glad to be an "Animal"!
Jared Johnson
Jared Johnson
These folks want to see you win. High quality options education.
Peter Kangethe
Peter Kangethe
A great investment for myself in options trading education. Very experienced and passionate educators. Acces to live and archived training material was key for me due to time diference. The curriculum is very well structured and this combined with weekly market updates helps you keep in tune with the market. Last but not least, a fantastic community to interact with through your training and trading journey.
Money well spent. They give you all the education you need. The rest is up to you.
They offer a systematic approach to options education. Each instructor has taken the courses. They are all intelligent, articulate and available to answer questions. No sales gimmicks just a commitment to the students. I highly recommend them.
John W
John W
Brice is very easy to work with and does what he says he will do. Thanks again Brice for the good service
How The Animals Play the GameOptions options endless bucksSounds so good but now I'm stuckTerms confusing, where to startThe OA coaches do it smartBuild your option with a planBalance risk reward and chanceThen like SEALS on secret missionsPlan your exits with precisionAnd if by chance you plan goes sourYou exits have a secret powerAdjust it for your profits claimThe only way to play the game- Bob the budding options guy
Merlin Andrews
Merlin Andrews
By far the best educational source for options trading that I have found in my 4+ years of learning. An incredible amount of information, education, and support - worth every investment penny for anyone serious about learning options trading. The most helpful, passionate, and skilled instructors - all with different perspectives that make it easy to find your own path instead of getting told what your path should be.
Baby Steps
Baby Steps
I don't usually pay for stuff like this because I feel all the info I need is free on YouTube. I stand corrected. Their training program is excellent and they have fantastic customer service. I have learned so much since I started using their curriculum.
Steven Hollosi
Steven Hollosi
I have been trading options for several years with some success just as a hobby, when I decided to trade options as a business and a source of a regular income, i searched for an educational platform to enhance my understanding and of the market dynamics when it comes to trading option I discovered Options Animals, called them, confirm that this was an educational focused platform that I could benefit from. The rest is history, I could not be happier with the results and support I received over time. They will teach you on how to enjoy the success rate of 90 plus percent of profitable trading with a thoughtful methodology and a plan of execution.
I am sold for life. Keep up the great work everyone.
Thank you,
Steven Hollosi
Kaleb Fife
Kaleb Fife
As a 23 year old with a decent amount of trading experience, I decided to try options. It always seemed “scary” which led to me trading other things like crypto and stocks. I always thought options were interesting but they seemed more complicated. With “theta” and “delta” and strike price and all these other things that made it seem super hard to understand. I finally decided I wanted to try them and started watching some YouTube videos but it still wasn’t really making sense and was hard for me to wrap my head around. That’s when I was introduced to OptionsAnimal by a friend. OptionsAnimal is a great options education for all skill levels in trading, from beginners who have never traded before, to more advanced traders looking to hone their skills and engage in a community of real, honest traders, not “gurus” trying to sell stock picks or other services. The education breaks trading down to a fundamental level that focuses on learning how markets and trading work, as opposed to just putting out stock picks or a single trading strategy that doesn’t always work. Instead they focus on building an understanding of why and how and provide a framework for building your own strategies based on solid trading theory. They also simplified the daunting jargon of options and made the Greeks, and other seemingly complicated aspects of options easy to understand and utilize in trading. The biggest benefit of OptionsAnimal beyond the education, however, and the thing that I think separates them the most from any competitors is the community. There are always live classes being held either covering education material, or live Q and A sessions with instructors, or weekly market updates on how the markets are acting, upcoming potential catalysts, etc. In addition, there are forums in the website where all of the instructors are available to communicate with and ask questions to, as well as the entire community in general. Overall it is a far superior experience to other competitors I have tried. I would recommend to anyone looking to get into options or looking to advance their skills and understanding.
Howie Agster
Howie Agster
Webinars have great examples of a superb strategy trading options. First in money management and trade adjustments limiting losses. My choice for learning from the best.
Tako Ichi
Tako Ichi
This is the best place for options trading educations. I was the one jumped in slowly. Took a few of their free classes. I saw they gave good values. Then, joined their "beginner" classes and later upgraded to their full curriculum. And now, I am a lifetime member. The only regret was that I didn't join earlier and started trading options sooner. Take advantage of their free classes and see for yourselves.
Kevin McDermott
Kevin McDermott
Even though I have been trading options for a couple of years, I was happily surprised by learning things I either did not know or did not understand as well as I should have.Excellent education program that is good for everybody from beginners to experienced options traders. Plenty of resources and actual people who can answer your questions or help you deal with any unexpected difficulties.Top notch organization doing top notch work. Check them out.
Excellent training from multiple experts.Member as of February 2019. I have completed up to level 3.Trading options since 2009-2011 when one could throw a dart and win!Excellent archives for training classes with Kathy, Joe , Eric, Charan , Jeff, and Horace. These are excellent educators because of the different styles each educator brings to their client.OA Trader work shops offer insight on how to think.The Wednesday and Friday updates also educate the client on how to think. These updates educate the client on how to separate the noisy events from those that are important.Entering into the options trading world with out OptionsANIMAL training is foolish.I am very pleased with the value of my decision to join OptionANIMAL.I wrote with review on my own accord and will stand by this review.Bodin Hugger, JRMetaire, LA 70006
Trade with MRS Sherry Murphy and her company and have a wonderful trading experiences where your money is rest assured and your profit is very easy to withdraw.. I just made another withdrawal and I think it's worth testifying. Contact her
[email protected]
WhatsApp :+ 13153028128
Oren Inbar
Oren Inbar
overall good training and covering all that is important in placing and managing options trades. Platform is very old and not user friendly. in todays age, I expected something much more advanced. Warren, my personal coach, is a great guy, and available always for any question I have.
Thom Ianniccari
Thom Ianniccari
Great education and support to learn to earn. I have done a lot of investing education and this is one of the few systems that gets a gold star.
Jim Jackman
Jim Jackman
I have been with options animal for a couple of years now. I was previously trading options with varying degrees of success but with no real understanding of what I was doing and whether or not it made sense. Options animal has given me a grounding that I needed to begin to manage my portfolio and understand the trades that I'm placing. It's training has helped me replace "greed and gambling" with common sense It is giving me an understanding of the options market. All of their instructors are excellent and it is a great virtue that they have and explain different approaches to the same lessons. I always find that I learn best when I review the same materials from different competent sources. Option animal provides that in great measure. In my opinion it is well worth the investment and I continue to look forward to their programs and trading analysis.
James Diehl
James Diehl
My wife and I have tried other on line trading academies and were not impressed with them at all. We became very frustrated to the point of almost giving up the idea of ever being able to learn how to trade options. We heard about Option Animal and decided to give it one more try and we are glad that we did. We were immediately impressed with the entire program. The lessons, both live and archived, are easy to follow and very well done making it simple for even the most novice trader to understand. The instructors are extremely knowledgeable and offer personalized attention when needed. We highly recommend Option Animal if you are serious about learning how to trade options.
Peter Schulz
Peter Schulz
This company is for real! The education is top-notch and can help you whether a beginner or a seasoned veteran looking for new approaches. If you are looking for the resources you need to add options trading to your investing, I can't imagine a better place to get it. The community is amazing and supportive, the instructors are great, and the site has endless archives to go through. Following along with experienced traders as they identify, make, and then adjust trades really drives the lessons home. I wish I had joined this 10 years ago.
Pretty good but only for novice.
Scott Walz
Scott Walz
Options Animal has been great to work with. There are many trainers to work with who have different styles of teaching and trading. I have found several that I like and learn from. The training they gave me has benefitted me so much that the gains I have made in my trading account has more than paid for my subscription to the lessons. Love this company and their trainers!
Mike Woollen
Mike Woollen
I've been a member of OptionsAnimal for approximately 5 years and have completed all 8 educational levels. They are terrific! I get dozens of emails daily with various other groups promoting their products to "hit it rich" with stocks and options trading, but I find that most of them are promoting their products to enrich themselves. But with OptionsAnimal, each instructor and the staff really care about providing a top-notch education and quality advice. After 5 years, I realize the more I know the more I realize how much I don't know! So, having access to the OptionsAnimal educational materials whenever needed is really helpful. I wholeheartedly recommend OptionsAnimal!
William Klun
William Klun
I've done a lot of stock and option training education over the years but this is the first place that actually delivered on what they advertise. They don't just give you trades or give canned formulas to execute, they give actual training courses and make sure you understand them before moving on to more advanced topics. There is ample opportunity to get feedback from instructors on any and all aspects of option trading. I had been trading for years before signing up and I didn't know how much I didn't know. I am so much more successful in my trading than before and I'm learning more here everyday. Worth the price of admission!
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